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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.823 | $2.55K | +$77.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 484.45 | $0.730 | $353.65 | 11h ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.5K |
| $0.440 |
| $2.32K |
| +$337.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.5K | $0.792 | $2.14K | +$158.34 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2K | $0.927 | $1.76K | -$96.49 |
 Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.71K | $0.830 | $1.21K | -$214.28 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.626 | $1.2K | +$254.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.750 | $1.14K | +$162.5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.670 | $1.12K | -$231.27 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.2K | $0.470 | $1.11K | +$77 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16K | $0.767 | $925.85 | +$38.15 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 998.81 | $0.788 | $923.9 | +$136.83 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1K | $0.540 | $735.02 | +$195 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2K | $0.351 | $703.38 | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.99K | $0.228 | $578.23 | +$124.58 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 751.75 | $0.730 | $560.05 | +$11.28 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 812.01 | $0.573 | $556.23 | +$91.08 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.205 | $509.25 | -$206.99 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.840 | $432.5 | +$12.5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 2.01K | $0.277 | $412.26 | -$144.49 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 409.17 | $0.853 | $364.57 | +$15.57 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | $0.510 | $303 | -$3 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.664 | $294 | +$28.32 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30K | $0.010 | $284.96 | -$15 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 300 | $0.880 | $267 | +$3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.570 | $262 | +$34 |
| sell |
| 200.45 |
| $0.006 |
| $1.2 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 250 | $0.346 | $86.5 | 5d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 226.07 | $0.002 | $0.45 | 10d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 206.9 | $0.003 | $0.62 | 10d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.760 | $266 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 425.94 | $0.130 | $55.37 | 13d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.970 | $485 | 13d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 685.08 | $0.790 | $541.21 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 266 | $0.138 | $36.8 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.210 | $216.3 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 772.44 | $0.670 | $517.53 | 15d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.110 | $44 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.260 | $267.79 | 16d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 421.38 | $0.044 | $18.54 | 16d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.750 | $600 | 17d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 400.1 | $0.853 | $341.29 | 17d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.730 | $365 | 18d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 146.43 | $0.560 | $82 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.090 | $72 | 18d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.039 | $43.37 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.155 | $31 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 538.9 | $0.100 | $53.89 | 18d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons | buy | 264.88 | $0.630 | $166.87 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.354 | $361.08 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 400 | $0.420 | $168 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.42K | $0.490 | $1.19K | 20d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 71.69 | $0.940 | $67.39 | 21d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 91.05 | $0.310 | $28.23 | 22d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.824 | $88.17 | 23d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 392.37 | $0.823 | $322.91 | 23d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.822 | $1.64K | 23d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3K | $0.505 | $1.52K | 25d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.310 | $93 | 25d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.130 | $143.03 | 25d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.492 | $49.24 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 66.42 | $0.139 | $9.26 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.89 | $0.019 | $3.8 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.004 | $1.2 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.040 | $47.57 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.030 | $30.19 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 230.63 | $0.300 | $69.19 | 27d ago |