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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.986 | $36.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 45 |
| $0.810 |
| $36.45 |
| Jun 1, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 45 | $0.800 | $36 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.430 | $18.92 | May 31, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.430 | $18.92 | May 31, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.450 | $33.75 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.720 | $30.24 | May 29, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.792 | $32.47 | May 29, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.988 | $29.64 | May 28, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.989 | $29.67 | May 28, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.280 | $9.24 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.935 | $1.32 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.988 | $1.4 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.928 | $12.99 | May 22, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.021 | $0.21 | May 22, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.019 | $0.8 | May 22, 2025 |
| sell | 12 | $0.954 | $11.45 | May 21, 2025 |
| buy | 12 | $0.953 | $11.44 | May 21, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.023 | $0.62 | May 21, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 13 | $0.982 | $12.77 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.027 | $2.62 | May 20, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.028 | $1.06 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | May 16, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.983 | $13.76 | May 15, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No | sell | 14 | $0.972 | $13.61 | May 15, 2025 |
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 14 | $0.957 | $13.4 | May 12, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | buy | 14 | $0.936 | $13.1 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.967 | $13.54 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | sell | 12 | $0.976 | $11.71 | May 11, 2025 |
Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.016 | $0.21 | May 11, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?No | sell | 52 | $0.009 | $0.47 | May 10, 2025 |
Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.017 | $0.2 | May 10, 2025 |
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?No | buy | 52 | $0.009 | $0.47 | May 10, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?No | sell | 5 | $0.959 | $4.8 | May 10, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?No | sell | 9 | $0.965 | $8.69 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Amazon buy TikTok?No | buy | 13 | $0.927 | $12.05 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No | sell | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No | buy | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | May 7, 2025 |
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.070 | $0.91 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.971 | $11.65 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | sell | 12 | $0.956 | $11.47 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | buy | 12 | $0.956 | $11.47 | May 6, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | sell | 12 | $0.966 | $11.59 | May 6, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | buy | 12 | $0.963 | $11.56 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.990 | $1.9 | May 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.990 | $1.9 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.106 | $0.85 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.050 | $1.4 | Apr 3, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.104 | $1.66 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Bolsonaro arrested before April?No | sell | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | Mar 28, 2025 |