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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 2.9K | $0.761 | $2.28K | +$70.5 |
 GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.011 | $16.7 | 57m ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.36K |
| $0.265 |
| $650.84 |
| +$291.84 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 304.36 | $0.700 | $275.44 | +$62.44 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 4.79K | $0.061 | $249.22 | -$41.52 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.590 | $174 | -$534 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 120.01 | $0.650 | $94.2 | +$16.2 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.025 |
| $24.92 |
| 59m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No | buy | 500 | $0.029 | $14.5 | 59m ago |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.265 | $359 | 15h ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 199.69 | $0.052 | $10.38 | 17h ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.052 | $67 | 17h ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.054 | $22.68 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | 2d ago |
 Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?No | sell | 126.02 | $0.988 | $124.51 | 2d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 768.05 | $0.039 | $30 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 444.44 | $0.274 | $121.91 | 4d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70.33 | $0.999 | $70.26 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 206.29 | $0.970 | $200 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.040 | $20.2 | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.880 | $527.75 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 347.52 | $0.101 | $35 | 13d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 222.32 | $0.090 | $20 | 13d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 238.25 | $0.084 | $20 | 13d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 31.66 | $0.068 | $2.15 | 13d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.090 | $40 | 13d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 257.73 | $0.097 | $25 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 524.79 | $0.623 | $327 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 167.83 | $0.596 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.178 | $248.28 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 342.84 | $0.583 | $200 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.124 | $186.23 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 382.91 | $0.468 | $179.02 | 13d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | 14d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 510.95 | $0.973 | $497.05 | 14d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | sell | 31.28 | $0.300 | $9.38 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | sell | 1.15K | $0.521 | $597.8 | 15d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 750 | $0.810 | $607.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 304.36 | $0.700 | $213 | 17d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.901 | $20 | 17d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 633.06 | $0.790 | $500 | 17d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 767.74 | $0.179 | $137.11 | 25d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 154.38 | $0.005 | $0.77 | 27d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.72 | $0.021 | $0.7 | 27d ago |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 885.63 | $0.102 | $90 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 4.21K | $0.999 | $4.2K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | sell | 871.32 | $0.845 | $736.28 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.845 | $1.47K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | sell | 217.05 | $0.870 | $188.85 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 137.93 | $0.435 | $60 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 125.94 | $0.397 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 24.8 | $0.403 | $10 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 126.26 | $0.396 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 223.33 | $0.403 | $90 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 248.14 | $0.403 | $100 | 27d ago |