Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by August 22?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | 29d ago |
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chengce is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax. As of the latest observation the record shows +$14.3 observed lifetime PnL, 106 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 100.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb2b494250e448eb1d8928b9c6f33eca88e98dda3
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 13.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $13 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?No | buy | 151.15 | $0.999 | $151 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No | buy | 151.3 | $0.998 | $151 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No | buy | 151.15 | $0.999 | $151 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?No | buy | 151.15 | $0.999 | $151 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?No | buy | 151.15 | $0.999 | $151 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?Yes | buy | 151.15 | $0.999 | $151 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 65.07 | $0.999 | $65 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 23?No | buy | 72.06 | $0.999 | $71.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 23?Yes | buy | 428.14 | $0.002 | $0.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on April 23?No | buy | 79.07 | $0.999 | $78.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?Yes | buy | 152.13 | $0.999 | $151.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 17?Yes | buy | 37.03 | $0.999 | $36.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 16?Yes | buy | 115.1 | $0.999 | $114.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?Yes | buy | 122.43 | $0.007 | $0.86 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 37.03 | $0.999 | $37 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 9?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.997 | $94.96 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 9?Yes | buy | 470.96 | $0.002 | $0.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No | buy | 57.15 | $0.997 | $56.98 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 153.14 | $0.999 | $152.98 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No | buy | 153.15 | $0.999 | $153 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 24?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 24?No | buy | 149.15 | $0.999 | $149 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?No | buy | 155.15 | $0.999 | $155 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 18?No | buy | 155.15 | $0.999 | $155 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 14?Yes | buy | 155.15 | $0.999 | $155 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 10?No | buy | 154.15 | $0.999 | $154 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No | buy | 26.05 | $0.998 | $26 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.002 | $2.44 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 2-8?No | buy | 127.49 | $0.996 | $127 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?No | buy | 315.07 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 52.16 | $0.997 | $52 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?No | buy | 104.21 | $0.998 | $104 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 155.16 | $0.999 | $155 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 7?No | buy | 157 | $0.999 | $156.84 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Canucks vs. UtahCanucks | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 1?No | buy | 107.21 | $0.998 | $107 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.720 | $12 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageDplus KIA | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 31?No | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?Yes | buy | 180.36 | $0.998 | $180 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 17?Yes | buy | 325 | $0.004 | $1.3 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.