Latest trade
Feb 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:57 PM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Signal 2D74 is down $70.21 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:57 PM UTC.
$14.67 median trade
Its latest 26 trades covered 13 markets; 61.5% were buys. They run from Jan 20, 2026 UTC to Feb 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 234.93 | $0.047 | $11 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-07 08:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
26 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:57 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-07 08:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $42.15 and losing ones cost $54.21 across 8 settled positions. 37.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.91 on “Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $28.97 on “Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Feb 2026. It has traded 13 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 131.47 |
| $0.084 |
| $11.03 |
| Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 131.47 | $0.304 | $40 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No | sell | 43.97 | $0.910 | $40.01 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No | buy | 43.98 | $0.480 | $21.11 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | sell | 260 | $0.080 | $20.8 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?No | buy | 260 | $0.100 | $26 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | sell | 28.2 | $0.970 | $27.35 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 28.2 | $0.500 | $14.1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?No | sell | 73.91 | $0.190 | $14.04 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 73.92 | $0.240 | $17.74 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | sell | 53.93 | $0.330 | $17.8 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 53.93 | $0.283 | $15.24 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?No | sell | 60.93 | $0.250 | $15.23 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?No | buy | 60.93 | $0.290 | $17.67 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 50.31 | $0.207 | $10.39 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 37.02 | $0.280 | $10.37 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.11 | $0.180 | $2.9 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?No | sell | 48.03 | $0.060 | $2.88 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 37.03 | $0.370 | $13.7 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?No | buy | 28.68 | $0.440 | $12.62 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?No | buy | 48.04 | $0.280 | $13.45 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?No | buy | 42.98 | $0.450 | $19.34 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No | sell | 22.49 | $0.860 | $19.34 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No | buy | 22.49 | $0.530 | $11.92 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 28.55 | $0.067 | $1.9 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |