Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?Yes | buy | 244.97 | $0.592 | $145 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 182.91 |
| $0.345 |
| $63.01 |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 376.92 | $0.230 | $86.69 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 376.92 | $0.260 | $98 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 890.9 | $0.110 | $98 | May 15, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 381.08 | $0.370 | $141 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 873.33 | $0.391 | $341.15 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 873.33 | $0.570 | $497.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.960 | $1.32K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 151.9 | $0.800 | $121.52 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.340 | $121.51 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 278.97 | $0.360 | $100.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 175.07 | $0.377 | $66 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 88.4 | $0.170 | $15.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 264.55 | $0.378 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 591.6 | $0.170 | $100.57 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 501.67 | $0.299 | $150 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.200 | $136 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 479.24 | $0.997 | $477.8 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | sell | 9.1 | $0.990 | $9.01 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp | buy | 8.99 | $0.830 | $7.46 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | sell | 7.66 | $0.999 | $7.65 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 7.52 | $0.740 | $5.56 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 6.14 | $0.450 | $2.76 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 479.24 | $0.580 | $277.96 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 365.14 | $0.190 | $69.38 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown | buy | 999.95 | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 164.07 | $0.091 | $14.95 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 30.97 | $0.160 | $4.95 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown | buy | 133.22 | $0.082 | $10.97 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.999 | $227.04 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 899.96 | $0.010 | $9 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 365.15 | $0.270 | $98.59 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 399.28 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.965 | $1.26K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.935 | $1.22K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.99K | $0.015 | $103.78 | Feb 1, 2026 |