Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.910 | $33.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.860 |
| $33.54 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.800 | $33.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.740 | $12.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.740 | $12.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 43 | $0.670 | $28.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.340 | $12.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.340 | $12.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 49 | $0.750 | $36.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.470 | $19.27 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.962 | $11.54 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.360 | $0.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.17 | $0.430 | $16.41 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.430 | $13.76 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.33 | $0.420 | $3.08 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | sell | 37 | $0.964 | $35.67 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 37 | $0.930 | $34.41 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.020 | $1.52 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.29 | $0.020 | $0.21 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.982 | $34.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.984 | $34.44 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.187 | $6.36 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.690 | $28.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.690 | $28.29 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.012 | $0.36 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.986 | $33.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 84 | $0.450 | $37.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 84 | $0.450 | $37.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.470 | $8.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.957 | $31.58 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.830 | $34.03 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.850 | $34.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 39 | $0.971 | $37.87 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.968 | $37.75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.934 | $38.29 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.934 | $38.29 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 38 | $0.990 | $37.62 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.991 | $37.66 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 85 | $0.440 | $37.4 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.141 | $4.79 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.926 | $39.82 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.925 | $39.78 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 9 | $0.733 | $6.6 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.982 | $31.43 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.975 | $39.98 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 41 | $0.971 | $39.81 | May 25, 2026 |