Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:53 PM UTC.
Analytics
Kvaerkeman is down $40.42 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:53 PM UTC.
$37 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Jul 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 300 | $0.971 | $288.75 | -$2.45 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 641.03 | $0.156 | $100 | 21h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 15:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 15:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $456.89 and losing ones cost $191.68 across 32 settled positions. 68.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $186.28 on “Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $55.51 on “Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 46 markets. Its open positions are worth $584.78 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 1.45K |
| $0.228 |
| $114.18 |
| -$215.61 |
 Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026? | Yes | 111 | $0.936 | $75.09 | -$28.87 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.240 | $59 | +$11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.185 | $22 | -$52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $17 | +$3 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.014 | $8.75 | -$1.05 |
| buy |
| 504.35 |
| $0.198 |
| $100 |
| 3d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | 9d ago |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.613 | $7.9 | 15d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | sell | 93.95 | $0.625 | $58.72 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | 15d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.788 | $16.55 | 15d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.950 | $103.55 | 17d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.940 | $5.95 | 17d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.920 | $11.5 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | 17d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.941 | $38.58 | 17d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.934 | $65.38 | 17d ago |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.970 | $116.4 | 17d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | sell | 351.96 | $0.999 | $351.61 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 45.96 | $0.936 | $43.02 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.937 | $81.48 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.944 | $48.14 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 41.5 | $0.972 | $40.34 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 58.5 | $0.972 | $56.86 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 68.9 | $0.971 | $66.9 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 31.1 | $0.971 | $30.2 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 45.1 | $0.969 | $43.7 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 49.9 | $0.969 | $48.35 | 18d ago |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.945 | $94.5 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.944 | $46.26 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.937 | $12.22 | 18d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.936 | $5.62 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | 18d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.164 | $16.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.433 | $86.6 | 18d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 18d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.155 | $15.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.432 | $43.2 | 18d ago |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.014 | $9.8 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.571 | $57.1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.370 | $21.46 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.370 | $11.84 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.196 | $19.62 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.348 | $34.76 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Julius van den Berg finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 17 | $0.980 | $16.66 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mathias Vacek finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Raúl García Pierna finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nicolas Prodhomme finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?No | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.