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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.38 | $0.953 | $0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.033 | $2.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.51 |
| $0.044 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 139 |
| $0.039 |
| $5.42 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.028 | $0.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.56 | $0.029 | $1.64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.953 | $50.51 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.820 | $51.66 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.080 | $11.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 174 | $0.120 | $20.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.810 | $55.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 69 | $0.840 | $57.96 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.935 | $57.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 113 | $0.027 | $3.05 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.027 | $3.46 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.140 | $1.68 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 58 | $0.956 | $55.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.580 | $62.64 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.590 | $63.13 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 54 | $0.942 | $50.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.600 | $4.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.600 | $63.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.035 | $5.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.034 | $5.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 24.01 | $0.580 | $13.93 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 108 | $0.560 | $60.48 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.780 | $40.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.780 | $40.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.063 | $6.62 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.062 | $9.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.066 | $4.95 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.550 | $18.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.540 | $39.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.290 | $0.29 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 153 | $0.290 | $44.37 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.985 | $54.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.047 | $4.47 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 144.51 | $0.044 | $6.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 29 | $0.953 | $27.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.500 | $24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.490 | $58.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 56 | $0.950 | $53.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 56 | $0.952 | $53.31 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.218 | $10.46 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.216 | $10.37 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.520 | $58.76 | Jun 2, 2026 |