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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jun 8, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 90.54 |
| $0.998 |
| $90.36 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 90.54 | $0.740 | $67 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 18.36 | $0.113 | $2.07 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 28.89 | $0.900 | $26 | May 19, 2026 |
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | May 14, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No | buy | 28.48 | $0.878 | $25 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 38.12 | $0.472 | $18 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 18.37 | $0.817 | $15 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.31 | $0.997 | $36.2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 22.45 | $0.993 | $22.29 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.46 | $0.993 | $22.3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 27.45 | $0.996 | $27.34 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 33.39 | $0.998 | $33.32 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 27.46 | $0.996 | $27.35 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?No | buy | 21.15 | $0.998 | $21.11 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?No | buy | 18.31 | $0.995 | $18.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 23.54 | $0.998 | $23.49 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.997 | $17.05 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 23.55 | $0.998 | $23.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.999 | $18.5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?No | buy | 17.46 | $0.997 | $17.41 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | sell | 38.33 | $0.940 | $36.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 38.33 | $0.960 | $36.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 64.02 | $0.943 | $60.37 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.702 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the US strike Iraq next?No | sell | 14.68 | $0.995 | $14.61 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Will the US strike Iraq next?No | buy | 14.69 | $0.994 | $14.6 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.35K | $0.008 | $26.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | sell | 41.79 | $0.993 | $41.5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.008 | $26.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 41.79 | $0.993 | $41.5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.02 | $0.920 | $58.9 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 48.54 | $0.997 | $48.39 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 48.55 | $0.999 | $48.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 35.73 | $0.998 | $35.66 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 54.12 | $0.996 | $53.9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 56.84 | $0.998 | $56.73 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 35.74 | $0.999 | $35.7 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 40.24 | $0.999 | $40.2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 38.84 | $0.999 | $38.8 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 45.28 | $0.996 | $45.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | buy | 56.84 | $0.996 | $56.6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 36.33 | $0.987 | $35.86 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 45.28 | $0.996 | $45.1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.34 | $0.988 | $35.9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 72.76 | $0.995 | $72.4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No | buy | 59.46 | $0.999 | $59.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.91 | $0.979 | $21.45 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 38.03 | $0.998 | $37.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |