Latest trade
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:05 AM UTC.
Analytics
Flaky-Triad is down $1.9K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 29 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:05 AM UTC.
$94.7 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 33 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Aug 8, 2024 UTC to Sep 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 108.62 | $0.850 | $104.28 | +$11.95 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3PM ETUp | buy | 219.12 | $0.500 | $109.56 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-21 03:48 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 10:05 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 10:05 UTC
polymarket positions
30 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-21 03:48 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $314.96 and losing ones cost $37.08 across 29 settled positions. 13.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $95.46 on “Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $7 on “Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Sep 2026. It has traded 38 markets. Its open positions are worth $104.28 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 154.53 |
| $0.500 |
| $77.27 |
| Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - July 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 294.56 | $0.500 | $147.28 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 264.22 | $0.500 | $132.11 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 309.14 | $0.500 | $154.57 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 184.76 | $0.500 | $92.38 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 251.84 | $0.500 | $125.92 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 226.46 | $0.500 | $113.23 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 235.62 | $0.500 | $117.81 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 249.84 | $0.500 | $124.92 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8PM ETDown | sell | 201.02 | $0.493 | $99.13 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8PM ETDown | buy | 201.02 | $0.500 | $100.51 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | sell | 198.01 | $0.490 | $97.02 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown | buy | 194.87 | $0.500 | $97.44 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ETDown | buy | 194.82 | $0.510 | $99.36 | Jan 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ETDown | buy | 445.18 | $0.510 | $227.04 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ETDown | buy | 140.73 | $0.510 | $71.77 | Dec 28, 2025 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - December 25, 5AM ETUp | buy | 130.59 | $0.510 | $66.6 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 10AM ETDown | buy | 133.73 | $0.510 | $68.2 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 108.62 | $0.850 | $92.33 | Nov 4, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 163.12 | $0.513 | $83.7 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 11AM ETDown | buy | 1.08K | $0.525 | $568.78 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 99.83 | $0.512 | $51.09 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 100.2 | $0.500 | $50.1 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No | sell | 20.34 | $0.997 | $20.28 | Sep 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No | buy | 20.34 | $0.999 | $20.32 | Sep 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 21.64 | $0.985 | $21.33 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 21.64 | $0.992 | $21.47 | Jul 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Liberal win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | sell | 21.58 | $0.995 | $21.47 | May 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Liberal win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 21.58 | $0.998 | $21.54 | May 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.991 | $21.53 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.996 | $21.65 | Mar 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 21.98 | $0.985 | $21.65 | Jan 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 21.99 | $0.986 | $21.68 | Jan 10, 2025 UTC |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.001 | $6 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?Yes | sell | 12.7 | $0.994 | $12.62 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?Yes | buy | 12.71 | $0.998 | $12.68 | Nov 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 6.05K | $0.001 | $6.05 | Oct 13, 2024 UTC |
 Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.001 | $7 | Sep 9, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.99K | $0.001 | $5.99 | Aug 29, 2024 UTC |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 212.31 | $0.997 | $211.67 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 212.31 | $0.999 | $212 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 246.2 | $0.997 | $245.36 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 246.21 | $0.999 | $245.96 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 234.67 | $0.989 | $232.07 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 234.67 | $0.990 | $232.32 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | sell | 200.44 | $0.947 | $189.82 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?No | buy | 200.44 | $0.949 | $190.22 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 234.25 | $0.968 | $226.75 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Maryland Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 234.26 | $0.970 | $227.23 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.