Latest trade
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:47 AM UTC.
Analytics
Third-Bond is down $74.78 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:47 AM UTC.
$8 median trade
Its latest 40 trades covered 35 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Dec 14, 2025 UTC to Mar 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 15.25 | $0.945 | $14.41 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-26 02:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
40 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:47 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-26 02:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $73.84 and losing ones cost $53.42 across 21 settled positions. 52.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $10 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5AM ET” (Down); the largest loss, $10 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Mar 2026. It has traded 35 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.1K |
| $0.009 |
| $9.9 |
| Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.010 | $11 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.009 | $5.4 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.010 | $6 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.966 | $16.11 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 16.68 | $0.970 | $16.18 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
 Spurs vs. LakersLakers | buy | 7 | $0.390 | $2.73 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - February 6, 2AM ETDown | buy | 9 | $0.500 | $4.5 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.841 | $15.98 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.928 | $17.63 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 2AM ETDown | buy | 11 | $0.500 | $5.5 | Jan 27, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 26, 2AM ETDown | buy | 9 | $0.500 | $4.5 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 2AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2AM ETDown | buy | 11 | $0.500 | $5.5 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 2AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Solana Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ETDown | buy | 9 | $0.500 | $4.5 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3AM ETDown | buy | 9.93 | $0.400 | $3.97 | Jan 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 3AM ETDown | buy | 32 | $0.500 | $16 | Jan 2, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 26, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 25, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12AM ETUp | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5AM ETUp | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5AM ETDown | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 5AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.500 | $7.5 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.