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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 121.88 | $0.240 | $21.33 | -$7.92 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 57 | $0.740 | $42.18 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.100 |
| $6.5 |
| +$1.5 |
 GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.7 | $0.340 | $1.98 | -$3.01 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 0.87 | $0.120 | $0.65 | +$0.54 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.38 | $0.326 | $0.35 | +$0.23 |
| buy |
| 121.88 |
| $0.240 |
| $29.25 |
| 4d ago |
 Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.933 | $46.65 | 5d ago |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.933 | $93.3 | 5d ago |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Yes | sell | 35.99 | $0.981 | $35.3 | 8d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | sell | 32.65 | $0.430 | $14.04 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | sell | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?No | buy | 132.65 | $0.220 | $29.18 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 31?No | buy | 69.2 | $0.255 | $17.65 | 9d ago |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?No | buy | 55.55 | $0.090 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 30?No | sell | 64.31 | $0.492 | $31.66 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30?No | sell | 61.08 | $0.340 | $20.77 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30?No | buy | 61.08 | $0.317 | $19.39 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 30?No | buy | 64.31 | $0.470 | $30.23 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30?No | buy | 62.67 | $0.490 | $30.71 | 11d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | buy | 23.87 | $0.900 | $21.48 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.062 | $4.43 | 12d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.996 | $79.68 | 13d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 236.32 | $0.999 | $236.08 | 13d ago |
| GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.7 | $0.340 | $5 | 13d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.520 | $4.9 | 14d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.048 | $3.44 | 15d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 11.69 | $0.700 | $8.18 | 15d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.35 | $0.450 | $15.46 | 16d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.460 | $4.89 | 16d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.92 | $0.530 | $4.73 | 16d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.99 | $0.670 | $16.74 | 16d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.810 | $64.8 | 19d ago |
| Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.830 | $124.5 | 19d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | 19d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.410 | $19.68 | 19d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.800 | $28.8 | 19d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.439 | $30.73 | 19d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 20d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.221 | $13.48 | 20d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 57 | $0.992 | $56.54 | 21d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 30.05 | $0.549 | $16.5 | 22d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?No | buy | 40 | $0.182 | $7.28 | 23d ago |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | sell | 124.9 | $0.991 | $123.78 | 23d ago |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.992 | $123.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.630 | $32.76 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | sell | 79 | $0.630 | $49.77 | 23d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?No | buy | 90 | $0.490 | $44.1 | 24d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?No | buy | 100.05 | $0.490 | $49 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 85.68 | $0.500 | $42.84 | 24d ago |
 Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?No | sell | 86.64 | $0.994 | $86.12 | 24d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?No | buy | 43 | $0.430 | $18.49 | 24d ago |