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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.55 | $0.958 | $0.54 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.890 | $37.38 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 66 |
| $0.090 |
| $5.94 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.100 | $3.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.080 | $6.72 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.690 | $28.29 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.610 | $40.26 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.610 | $40.26 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 24 | $0.958 | $22.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.790 | $40.29 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.010 | $0.93 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.011 | $1.02 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.280 | $25.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.193 | $1.93 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.500 | $15.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.360 | $39.96 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.019 | $0.38 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.110 | $10.56 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.120 | $11.52 | May 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 47 | $0.390 | $18.33 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.420 | $45.36 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 41 | $0.952 | $39.03 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.023 | $0.87 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No | sell | 8 | $0.985 | $7.88 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.51 | $0.059 | $1.8 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 9 | $0.997 | $8.97 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 9 | $0.977 | $8.79 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | sell | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.051 | $1.12 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?No | sell | 11 | $0.919 | $10.11 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.020 | $0.44 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No | buy | 12 | $0.909 | $10.91 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | sell | 18 | $0.048 | $0.86 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.987 | $7.9 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No | buy | 11 | $0.048 | $0.53 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 11 | $0.995 | $10.95 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12 | $0.956 | $11.47 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 12 | $0.959 | $11.51 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 12 | $0.931 | $11.17 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 12 | $0.978 | $11.74 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 12 | $0.978 | $11.74 | Mar 10, 2025 |