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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.280 |
| $40 |
| May 8, 2025 |
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 584.12 | $0.068 | $40 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?Yes | buy | 376.99 | $0.106 | $40 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.067 | $0.67 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.065 | $1.3 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | sell | 73.78 | $0.001 | $0.07 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.030 | $3.03 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 73.78 | $0.054 | $4 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Hillary?Yes | buy | 143.85 | $0.013 | $1.82 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | sell | 151.27 | $0.012 | $1.82 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?No | buy | 151.27 | $0.660 | $99.84 | Jan 17, 2025 |
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 110.85 | $0.130 | $14.41 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 277.82 | $0.052 | $14.41 | Dec 9, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?No | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 368.2 | $0.588 | $216.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |