Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 731.25 | $0.008 | $5.85 | Apr 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.17K |
| $0.013 |
| $15.18 |
| Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 530.66 | $0.029 | $15.19 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 530.67 | $0.030 | $15.92 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.006 | $11.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 810 | $0.014 | $11.34 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 510.44 | $0.045 | $22.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 935.71 | $0.007 | $6.55 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 370.33 | $0.060 | $22.22 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 247.57 | $0.070 | $17.33 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 144.5 | $0.080 | $11.56 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 176.46 | $0.130 | $22.94 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.18 | $0.170 | $27.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 34.07 | $0.804 | $27.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 34.07 | $0.850 | $28.96 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No | buy | 628.92 | $0.008 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.96K | $0.004 | $23.84 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.78K | $0.005 | $23.91 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.78K | $0.005 | $23.9 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.003 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.99K | $0.003 | $95.98 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.21K | $0.004 | $16.82 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 575 | $0.004 | $2.3 | Jan 27, 2026 |