Latest trade
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:41 PM UTC.
680oUo is down $23.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 19 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 12:41 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Jul 1, 2026 UTC to Jul 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-01 06:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 12:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 12:41 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-01 06:05 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $59.89 and losing ones cost $50.17 across 19 settled positions. 26.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $34.4 on “Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $34.38 on “Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 2 Jul 2026. It has traded 23 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 24.97 |
| $0.331 |
| $8.27 |
| Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Yes | sell | 306.74 | $0.370 | $113.36 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Yes | buy | 24.97 | $0.360 | $8.99 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 250.66 | $0.037 | $9.17 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?Yes | buy | 306.75 | $0.462 | $141.83 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 7.44K | $0.001 | $7.44 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 4.79K | $0.003 | $16 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.17 | $0.011 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.67 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.01 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.002 | $7 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.04 | $0.095 | $1.05 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 41.51 | $0.095 | $3.94 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 56.88 | $0.016 | $0.91 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.050 | $0.53 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.050 | $0.71 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.44 | $0.354 | $21.03 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40.08 | $0.330 | $13.23 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.310 | $9.69 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 56.88 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.09 | $0.324 | $13 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 707.5 | $0.004 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.45 | $0.353 | $21 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 156.12 | $0.929 | $145 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | sell | 61.21 | $0.006 | $0.37 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.21 | $0.032 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 50.38 | $0.955 | $48.11 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 102.04 | $0.976 | $99.59 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.003 | $0.2 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 46.05 | $0.043 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.025 | $0.31 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.099 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.3 | $0.653 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 57.63 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.155 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.297 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.26 | $0.138 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Claude be restored for international customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 46.65 | $0.014 | $0.64 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.