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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Sep 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 5.41 |
| $0.924 |
| $5 |
| Jul 23, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | May 24, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.965 | $5.3 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.983 | $5.66 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.945 | $5.77 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.990 | $4.87 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.981 | $5.32 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Anfernee Simons lead the NBA in scoring?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.994 | $5.36 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.996 | $5.95 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.993 | $5.7 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.988 | $5.5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 6.91 | $0.998 | $6.9 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 2.32 | $0.530 | $1.23 | Aug 13, 2024 |
Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | buy | 88.44 | $0.995 | $88 | Jul 6, 2024 |
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jul 6, 2024 |
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Jul 6, 2024 |
Will Henry McMaster win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros?No | buy | 89.54 | $0.994 | $89 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?Netanyahu | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by December 18?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.190 | $3 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 92.46 | $0.994 | $91.91 | Jun 23, 2024 |
Will Slovakia win Group E?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jun 20, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 92.46 | $0.995 | $92 | Jun 20, 2024 |
Elon Musk bans Apple devices at his companies?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jun 20, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by December 18?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Jun 20, 2024 |