Analytics
Normal-Guess is down $97.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 26 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.098 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-04 06:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 15:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 15:37 UTC
polymarket positions
28 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-04 06:52 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $67.47 and losing ones cost $83.31 across 26 settled positions. 26.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $46.95 on “Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $40 on “US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 55 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.24 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
