Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:59 AM UTC.
Analytics
Untimely-Confusion is down $40.44 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:59 AM UTC.
$22 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 2, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 16.18 | $0.995 | $15.69 | -$0.41 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?No | buy | 28.39 | $0.997 | $28.3 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 09:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 00:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 00:59 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 09:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.34 and losing ones cost $51.08 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.3 on “Will Elon tweet 275-299 times April 4 - 11?” (No); the largest loss, $45 on “Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 169 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.69 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 16.05 |
| $0.997 |
| $16 |
| 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.995 | $13.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 15?No | buy | 24.12 | $0.995 | $24 | 8d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.998 | $13.4 | 11d ago |
 Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | 14d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?Yes | buy | 18.78 | $0.996 | $18.7 | 17d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.998 | $22.16 | 19d ago |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes | buy | 20.44 | $0.998 | $20.4 | 19d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?No | buy | 23.09 | $0.996 | $23 | 21d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?No | buy | 16.97 | $0.996 | $16.9 | 24d ago |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?No | buy | 18.04 | $0.998 | $18 | 25d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?Yes | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | 29d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?Yes | buy | 22.07 | $0.997 | $22 | 29d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.994 | $24 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 16.18 | $0.995 | $16.1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 30.06 | $0.998 | $30 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?No | buy | 26.08 | $0.997 | $26 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 21.08 | $0.996 | $21 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 23.05 | $0.998 | $23 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.998 | $22 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 29.56 | $0.998 | $29.5 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 15.55 | $0.997 | $15.5 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 21?Yes | buy | 29.06 | $0.998 | $29 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 22.16 | $0.993 | $22 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?No | buy | 36.57 | $0.998 | $36.5 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 28.06 | $0.998 | $28 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?No | buy | 22.67 | $0.997 | $22.6 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 32.16 | $0.998 | $32.1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2?No | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.997 | $15.4 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 17.47 | $0.996 | $17.4 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 25.9 | $0.996 | $25.8 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 18.05 | $0.997 | $18 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.996 | $10.99 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 37.29 | $0.995 | $37.1 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.998 | $25 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 6-12?No | buy | 24.07 | $0.997 | $24 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 10?Yes | buy | 19.04 | $0.998 | $19 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 6-12?No | buy | 25.28 | $0.997 | $25.2 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.995 | $25 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?No | buy | 22.06 | $0.997 | $22 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?Yes | buy | 16.08 | $0.995 | $16 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.