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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 40.57K | $0.954 | $40.53K | +$1.81K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.830 | $1.03K | 13h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30.2K |
| $0.808 |
| $26.43K |
| +$2.02K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 12K | $0.950 | $11.99K | +$594 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.3K | $0.980 | $10.18K | +$87.55 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.8K | $0.870 | $4.96K | -$87 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.04K | $0.815 | $4.21K | +$101.18 |
| buy |
| 5.8K |
| $0.870 |
| $5.05K |
| 13h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.3K | $0.980 | $10.09K | 6d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.2K | $0.970 | $6.01K | 13d ago |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 3.81K | $0.998 | $3.81K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 955 | $0.986 | $941.72 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 20K | $0.990 | $19.8K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 10K | $0.950 | $9.5K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 5.18K | $0.979 | $5.07K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 15.12K | $0.986 | $14.91K | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.735 | $4.09K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.970 | $5.04K | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.960 | $5.76K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.820 | $4.1K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.982 | $4.91K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 38.38K | $0.983 | $37.73K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 18K | $0.894 | $16.09K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 4K | $0.760 | $3.04K | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.973 | $5.06K | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5.3K | $0.950 | $5.04K | May 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.962 | $5K | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 15.2K | $0.790 | $12.01K | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.830 | $8.3K | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 10.76K | $0.989 | $10.64K | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.965 | $5.79K | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 15.1K | $0.997 | $15.05K | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 5.4K | $0.940 | $5.08K | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 4.71K | $0.938 | $4.42K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 12K | $0.870 | $10.44K | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.43K | $0.920 | $5K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 8K | $0.860 | $6.88K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.84K | $0.990 | $22.61K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.960 | $1.86K | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 12K | $0.969 | $11.62K | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.81K | $0.860 | $5K | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.986 | $1.58K | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.940 | $2.2K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.837 | $2.09K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.839 | $1.68K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.940 | $2.82K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.745 | $745.46 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.963 | $2.41K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.89K | $0.936 | $2.7K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.749 | $5.99K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.838 | $3.35K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | buy | 18.04 | $0.720 | $12.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 403.87 | $0.919 | $371.11 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 7.57K | $0.757 | $5.74K | Mar 2, 2026 |