Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4K | $0.234 | $574 | -$362 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?Yes | sell | 32.31 | $0.027 | $0.87 | Apr 19, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1.35K |
| $0.039 |
| $2.7 |
| -$50.62 |
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.006 | $1.75 | -$5.32 |
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | Yes | 1.02 | $0.985 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 30.3 |
| $0.066 |
| $2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 193.32 | $0.013 | $2.51 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 16.14 | $0.820 | $13.23 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | sell | 44.49 | $0.802 | $35.69 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.013 | $29.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 81.63 | $0.070 | $5.71 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.109 | $872 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 701.89 | $0.044 | $30.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.360 | $0.76 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.045 | $0.45 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 425 | $0.310 | $131.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.029 | $8.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.026 | $29.47 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 46.38 | $0.710 | $32.93 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 68.79 | $0.023 | $1.58 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 56.53 | $0.035 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 49.09 | $0.442 | $21.71 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 499.96 | $0.038 | $19 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.998 | $1.24K | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.999 | $1.24K | Mar 10, 2026 |
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Yes | sell | 68.42 | $0.230 | $15.74 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?No | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 199.97 | $0.183 | $36.51 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 14.45 | $0.673 | $9.72 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.021 | $70.41 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.031 | $3.42 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.036 | $4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will SC Freiburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |