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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.98 | $0.047 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.130 | $0.13 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.057 |
| $2.74 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.190 | $11.02 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.029 | $2.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.680 | $42.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.027 | $2.59 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.029 | $4.23 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.480 | $56.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.450 | $52.65 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.690 | $48.3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 124 | $0.140 | $17.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.140 | $22.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.230 | $31.28 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.56 | $0.983 | $16.28 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.983 | $52.1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.270 | $3.51 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.260 | $14.56 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.250 | $14 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.120 | $10.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.900 | $3.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.180 | $16.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 152 | $0.160 | $24.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.160 | $1.28 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 59 | $0.850 | $50.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 59 | $0.850 | $50.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.936 | $45.86 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.390 | $28.08 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.390 | $28.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 88 | $0.043 | $3.78 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.047 | $4.14 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.807 | $50.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.043 | $0.82 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.046 | $1.24 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.510 | $29.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 18 | $0.984 | $17.71 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.982 | $17.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.025 | $0.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.949 | $51.25 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.945 | $51.03 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.989 | $31.65 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 56.73 | $0.792 | $44.93 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.067 | $2.21 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.032 | $0.54 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 21 | $0.428 | $8.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 8 | $0.965 | $7.72 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.059 | $0.59 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | buy | 8 | $0.960 | $7.68 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.959 | $8.63 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.988 | $1.3 | May 21, 2025 |