Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
tarnished123 has made $23.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 5 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:01 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 12 trades covered 11 markets; 91.7% were buys. They run from Sep 4, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 75.19 | $0.133 | $9.81 | -$0.19 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.875 | $10 | 4d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-13 15:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 17:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
12 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 17:01 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 15:06 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $39.43 and losing ones cost $1.04 across 5 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $27.32 on “Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.04 on “Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 11 markets. Its open positions are worth $33.4 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 13.51 |
| $0.740 |
| $9.53 |
| -$0.47 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.43 | $0.875 | $9.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $4.75 | -$0.25 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.128 |
| $16 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 75.19 | $0.133 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.79 | $0.676 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | 23d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 33.17 | $0.147 | $4.87 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 32.33 | $0.150 | $4.85 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Sep 4, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.