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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 205.53 |
| $0.058 |
| $12 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 52.5 | $0.952 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 104.46 | $0.862 | $90 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 64.07 | $0.089 | $5.7 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.07 | $0.125 | $8 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.880 | $66 | Nov 30, 2025 |
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 36.95 | $0.271 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.400 | $25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.984 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?Down | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
Will Elon say "Big Balls" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 63.64 | $0.110 | $7 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Baier interview on Thursday?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?No | buy | 165.2 | $0.908 | $150 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 94.18 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev | buy | 165.31 | $0.490 | $81 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.042 | $1.68 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.045 | $3 | Mar 8, 2025 |
Thunder vs. MavericksMavericks | buy | 103.13 | $0.320 | $33 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Will Fury beat Usyk?Yes | buy | 102.5 | $0.400 | $41 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Doodles token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.630 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.963 | $6 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 20, 2024 |
Daniel Penny found guilty?No | buy | 103.03 | $0.660 | $68 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.150 | $5.5 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers | buy | 99.39 | $0.815 | $81 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Will the match between Monaco and Benfica end in a draw?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?No | buy | 95.74 | $0.470 | $45 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Celtics vs. HornetsCeltics | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Nov 2, 2024 |