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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 888.89 | $0.999 | $887.55 | -$0.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 22h ago |
|
| No |
| 6.19 |
| $0.970 |
| $6.18 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 6.1 | $0.984 | $6.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.18 | $0.944 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4.76 | $0.630 | $2.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.380 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 888.89 |
| $0.999 |
| $888 |
| 22h ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 22h ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 22h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.984 | $6 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.956 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.944 | $3 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.778 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 1.11K | $0.996 | $1.11K | May 1, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.190 | $0.92 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.997 | $1.11K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.998 | $1.11K | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Pregnant" during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.081 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Super Bowl" during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 White Sox vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. PiratesPirates | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. 76ersThunder | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 101.41 | $0.996 | $101 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?Yes | buy | 2.62 | $0.210 | $0.55 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 200.55 | $0.998 | $200.15 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Zircuit airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Jumper airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 214.58 | $0.998 | $214.15 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 214.58 | $0.999 | $214.37 | Jul 29, 2024 |