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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.78 | $0.880 | $15.65 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.780 |
| $15.6 |
| Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.870 | $0.87 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes | sell | 43.2 | $0.570 | $24.62 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.810 | $19.28 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Yes | sell | 64.45 | $0.300 | $19.34 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | sell | 12.06 | $0.950 | $11.46 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | sell | 42.54 | $0.910 | $38.71 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 41.9 | $0.063 | $2.63 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.978 | $3.85 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.471 | $9.41 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes | buy | 7.79 | $0.480 | $3.74 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.480 | $12 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 16.96 | $0.590 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes | sell | 30.48 | $0.970 | $29.57 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes | buy | 30.49 | $0.960 | $29.27 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.030 | $0.43 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 8.16 | $0.490 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.470 | $2.62 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | sell | 6.34 | $0.330 | $2.09 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.693 | $7 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.071 | $2.37 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.630 | $4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?No | sell | 10.71 | $0.974 | $10.43 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | sell | 28.37 | $0.999 | $28.34 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 28.38 | $0.740 | $21 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.980 | $10.5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?Yes | buy | 28.17 | $0.530 | $14.93 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 446.02 | $0.009 | $4 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 83.89 | $0.018 | $1.51 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 112.78 | $0.018 | $2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.009 | $1.5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 147.62 | $0.016 | $2.3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 15.07 | $0.750 | $11.3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 149.28 | $0.026 | $3.86 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.770 | $3.87 | Dec 27, 2025 |