Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.9K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 30, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 28% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 30 Dec 2025, the highest close was 61% on 29 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 59 points down, to 1.6% on 30 Dec 2025. $11.87K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 31, 8:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Dec 2025	28.0%
30 Dec 2025	1.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Wasiop	Yes	1.17K
TENETENET	Yes	500
sagishi	Yes	465.82
9735	Yes	299.99

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a bilateral meeting with Benyamin Netanyahu on December 29, 2025 (see https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/8/trump-to-host-netanyahu-at-white-house-on-december-29-israeli-government). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Israeli Prime Minister on December 29, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring both Donald Trump and the Israeli Prime Minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). All such scheduled events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events, or which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.