Latest trade
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:44 PM UTC.
Analytics
Marthay is down $31.73 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:44 PM UTC.
$47.61 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 9 markets; 52.0% were buys. They run from Mar 27, 2026 UTC to Apr 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | sell | 194.13 | $0.999 | $193.94 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-01 13:56 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 23:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 23:44 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-01 13:56 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $43.83 and losing ones cost $75.68 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.68 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $33.92 on “Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Apr 2026. It has traded 52 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 194.12 |
| $0.999 |
| $193.93 |
| Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No | sell | 195.11 | $0.994 | $193.94 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No | buy | 195.11 | $0.990 | $193.16 | Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 38.68 | $0.916 | $35.43 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 107.23 | $0.916 | $98.22 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 64.96 | $0.916 | $59.5 | Apr 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 25.62 | $0.915 | $23.44 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.915 | $34.77 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.915 | $37.52 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.915 | $6.73 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.915 | $28.37 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.915 | $32.03 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.915 | $22.88 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.915 | $7.23 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 85.84 | $0.970 | $83.26 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.970 | $13.58 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.970 | $29.1 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.970 | $1.9 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 37.11 | $0.970 | $36 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 198.91 | $0.969 | $192.74 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 198.91 | $0.969 | $192.74 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 198.91 | $0.969 | $192.74 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 198.91 | $0.969 | $192.74 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 150.29 | $0.965 | $145.03 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.62 | $0.965 | $46.92 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 52.1 | $0.974 | $50.75 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 105 | $0.974 | $102.27 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 2.62 | $0.974 | $2.55 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 34.28 | $0.974 | $33.39 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 81.5 | $0.973 | $79.3 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 8.67 | $0.973 | $8.44 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 37.15 | $0.973 | $36.15 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 29.77 | $0.973 | $28.97 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.973 | $38.92 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 191.75 | $0.999 | $191.56 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 191.58 | $0.998 | $191.2 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 191.19 | $0.999 | $191 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 14.73 | $0.966 | $14.23 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.966 | $38.64 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.966 | $38.64 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 53.01 | $0.966 | $51.21 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 197.74 | $0.965 | $190.82 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 197.13 | $0.968 | $190.82 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 197.13 | $0.966 | $190.43 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 94.78 | $0.967 | $91.65 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 95.65 | $0.967 | $92.49 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 106 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.