Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.011 | $0.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 22 |
| $0.800 |
| $17.6 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.500 | $38.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 48 | $0.951 | $45.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 48 | $0.952 | $45.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.197 | $6.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.045 | $0.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.042 | $1.93 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.047 | $3.62 | May 29, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.054 | $4.32 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.146 | $5.84 | May 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.280 | $9.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 52 | $0.880 | $45.76 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.053 | $0.48 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.075 | $4.35 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.075 | $11.33 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.973 | $40.87 | May 19, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.967 | $45.45 | May 18, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.967 | $45.45 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2 | $0.980 | $1.96 | May 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 27 | $0.958 | $25.87 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 27 | $0.958 | $25.87 | May 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 46 | $0.957 | $44.02 | May 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 46 | $0.962 | $44.25 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.032 | $1.73 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.984 | $28.54 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.281 | $41.59 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.279 | $41.29 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.966 | $37.67 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.965 | $37.64 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.951 | $43.75 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.970 | $43.65 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.970 | $43.65 | May 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 40.38 | $0.983 | $39.69 | May 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.984 | $40.34 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.077 | $3.93 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.167 | $3.67 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.167 | $3.67 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 41 | $0.976 | $40.02 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 41 | $0.974 | $39.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.982 | $28.48 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.157 | $6.75 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.077 | $6.85 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.077 | $3.31 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.031 | $2.76 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.031 | $2.76 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.038 | $0.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |