Analytics
Last-Shingle is down $18.37 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 10 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 156.47 | $0.861 | $141.61 | +$6.96 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 06:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 16:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 16:16 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 06:05 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $43.4 and losing ones cost $6.84 across 10 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $20.87 on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $6.84 on “Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?” (Yes).
It has traded 18 markets. Its open positions are worth $270.15 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 85.49 |
| $0.915 |
| $82.54 |
| +$4.34 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 47.06 | $0.850 | $46 | +$6 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
