Latest trade
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:37 AM UTC.
Analytics
aguilar is down $1.26K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:37 AM UTC.
$19.8 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 16 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Dec 29, 2025 UTC to Aug 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 345.38 | $0.269 | $36.26 | -$56.58 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.210 | $18.9 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-04 00:58 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:37 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-04 00:58 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $662.11 and losing ones cost $500.95 across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $79.94 on “Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 17?” (Yes); the largest loss, $134.2 on “Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Aug 2026. It has traded 119 markets. Its open positions are worth $83.49 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 182.04 |
| $0.364 |
| $33.68 |
| -$32.66 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 366.19 | $0.155 | $13.55 | -$43.33 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.5 |
| Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.220 | $19.8 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.034 | $1.02 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.270 | $29.7 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.062 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 82.04 | $0.560 | $45.94 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 366.19 | $0.150 | $54.93 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.86 | $0.280 | $3.04 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 150.56 | $0.160 | $24.09 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 160.6 | $0.150 | $24.09 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 144.53 | $0.150 | $21.68 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 230 | $0.032 | $7.42 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.030 | $3.9 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.057 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 63.87 | $0.920 | $58.76 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.130 | $27.43 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 161.38 | $0.170 | $27.43 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.87 | $0.310 | $19.8 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.38 | $0.130 | $20.98 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 225.38 | $0.080 | $18.03 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 121.87 | $0.140 | $17.06 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 243.75 | $0.160 | $39 | Feb 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.120 | $18.46 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 235 | $0.170 | $39.95 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 64.95 | $0.200 | $12.99 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 114.5 | $0.200 | $22.9 | Jan 11, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 68.42 | $0.335 | $22.9 | Jan 10, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 285.51 | $0.170 | $48.54 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 444.44 | $0.170 | $75.55 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 68.42 | $0.190 | $13 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.25 | $0.160 | $8.84 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.