Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 42 | $0.921 | $38.68 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.190 |
| $2.85 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.190 | $4.94 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.100 | $4.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.470 | $17.39 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.920 | $14.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.101 | $8.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.101 | $17.27 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 144.6 | $0.180 | $26.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.150 | $21.9 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.946 | $52.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.956 | $53.54 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.160 | $9.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.160 | $9.12 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | sell | 56 | $0.950 | $53.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 56 | $0.950 | $53.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.110 | $7.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.110 | $7.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.110 | $5.94 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 104 | $0.460 | $47.84 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 114 | $0.460 | $52.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.037 | $0.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.890 | $33.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.890 | $37.38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.064 | $0.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.093 | $1.02 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.913 | $41.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 64 | $0.182 | $11.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.175 | $15.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.966 | $53.13 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.780 | $53.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.780 | $53.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 57 | $0.936 | $53.35 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.935 | $53.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.760 | $50.92 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 56 | $0.910 | $50.96 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 56 | $0.900 | $50.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.035 | $1.33 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 41.72 | $0.012 | $0.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.046 | $4.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.044 | $5.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.540 | $28.62 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.540 | $28.62 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 52 | $0.955 | $49.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 52 | $0.955 | $49.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 31 | $0.951 | $29.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 31 | $0.950 | $29.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.809 | $46.11 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.510 | $33.66 | Jun 5, 2026 |