Latest trade
Aug 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 10:41 AM UTC.
Analytics
BalancedFury is down $336.69 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 10:41 AM UTC.
$39.6 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 131 markets; 94.5% were buys. They run from May 14, 2026 UTC to Aug 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.470 | $149.5 | -$461.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 07:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 10:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 10:41 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-06 21:37 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $849.13 and losing ones cost $107.8 across the latest 50 settled positions. 88% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $123.35 on “Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $74.99 on “England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance” (England).
It first traded on 30 Dec 2025 and most recently on 17 Aug 2026. It has traded 490 markets. Its open positions are worth $207.95 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 60 |
| $0.880 |
| $57.06 |
| +$4.26 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| buy |
| 38.42 |
| $0.998 |
| $38.34 |
| Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.999 | $37.46 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 466.23 | $0.998 | $465.3 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 111.33 | $0.998 | $111.11 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 63.08 | $0.994 | $62.69 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 350 | $0.987 | $345.45 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?No | buy | 98.58 | $0.986 | $97.2 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 175.32 | $0.993 | $174.09 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageCupid Esports | buy | 200.01 | $0.999 | $199.81 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports | buy | 100.05 | $0.990 | $99.05 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageCupid Esports | buy | 143.08 | $0.990 | $141.65 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports | buy | 21.39 | $0.970 | $20.75 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 WinnerCupid Esports | buy | 12.04 | $0.970 | $11.68 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.997 | $1.13K | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp | sell | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 238.55 | $0.940 | $224.24 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsT1 | buy | 100 | $0.961 | $96.13 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageUniversity of Mississippi | buy | 200.1 | $0.990 | $198.1 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerUniversity of Mississippi | buy | 189.11 | $0.990 | $187.22 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | sell | 25 | $0.287 | $7.18 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 193.93 | $0.960 | $186.17 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No | buy | 19 | $0.959 | $18.22 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.981 | $38.24 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium | buy | 19 | $0.998 | $18.95 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.983 | $5.54 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 47.86 | $0.978 | $46.81 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 26.81 | $0.958 | $25.67 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 72 | $0.966 | $69.55 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 48.81 | $0.998 | $48.69 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.918 | $13.77 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.93 | $0.937 | $19.61 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 96.95 | $0.936 | $90.76 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerLYON | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | sell | 392.06 | $0.995 | $390.1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.996 | $7.91 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Switzerland | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Egypt | sell | 375 | $0.970 | $363.75 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 | buy | 50.51 | $0.660 | $33.34 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.969 | $29.06 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No | buy | 160.21 | $0.966 | $154.76 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.