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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 17.86 | $0.560 | $8.48 | -$1.52 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 36.91 | $0.560 | $20.67 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.46 |
| $0.670 |
| $6.39 |
| +$1.39 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 22.72 |
| $0.854 |
| $19.4 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 21 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.600 | $2.09 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 21 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.340 | $2.09 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 be greater than 2,300,000?No | buy | 22.35 | $0.170 | $3.8 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be greater than 2,100,000?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000?Yes | buy | 75.5 | $0.233 | $17.56 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be less than 2,100,000?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.189 | $35 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be less than 2,300,000?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 be greater than 2,300,000?No | buy | 29.68 | $0.337 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 17 be less than 2,400,000?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be less than 2,100,000?Yes | buy | 116.85 | $0.086 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000?No | buy | 124 | $0.081 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Yes | buy | 112.31 | $0.089 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?Yes | buy | 58.99 | $0.146 | $8.64 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be greater than 3,100,000?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.970 | $2.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,900,000 and 3,100,000?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.960 | $2.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,700,000 and 2,900,000?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.970 | $2.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be between 2,500,000 and 2,700,000?No | buy | 2.58 | $0.970 | $2.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 be greater than 2,300,000?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.950 | $3.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.950 | $3.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 18 be less than 1,700,000?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.950 | $3.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 17 be less than 2,400,000?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be less than 2,100,000?Yes | buy | 51.47 | $0.194 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000?No | buy | 228.4 | $0.044 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?Yes | buy | 75.66 | $0.264 | $20 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2,500,000?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000?No | buy | 79.88 | $0.125 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 13 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?Yes | buy | 111.69 | $0.090 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |