Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:32 AM UTC.
Analytics
Ethical-Dragonfly is down $107.28 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-30 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:32 AM UTC.
$4.95 median trade
Its latest 31 trades covered 31 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 31, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.954 | $1.63 | -$0.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.954 | $1.67 | 7d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-30 22:34 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 10:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
31 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 10:32 UTC
polymarket positions
17 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-30 22:34 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $61.88 on “Knicks vs. Celtics” (Knicks).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.63 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 9.63 |
| $0.967 |
| $9.31 |
| 27d ago |
 Seahawks vs. CardinalsSeahawks | buy | 15.62 | $0.660 | $10.31 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
 US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico CinaAlex Michelsen | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces | buy | 3.37 | $0.910 | $3.07 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 15.59 | $0.170 | $2.65 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.67 | $0.030 | $1.31 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.770 | $14.28 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.190 | $1.22 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.910 | $13 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?Yes | buy | 12.61 | $0.770 | $9.71 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.150 | $1.29 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.968 | $1.9 | May 30, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.950 | $3.12 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
 Spurs vs. ThunderThunder | buy | 9 | $0.580 | $5.22 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.965 | $5.35 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 18.67 | $0.120 | $2.24 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 262.5 | $0.008 | $2.1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.500 | $1.41 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.730 | $1.2 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs | buy | 1.3 | $0.840 | $1.09 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
| Rockets vs. LakersRockets | buy | 5.98 | $0.670 | $4.01 | Apr 18, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils | buy | 8.32 | $0.670 | $5.58 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?No | buy | 17.01 | $0.788 | $13.4 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsMOUZ | buy | 19.02 | $0.640 | $12.17 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?No | buy | 42 | $0.350 | $14.7 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 150.87 | $0.517 | $78 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Pistons vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 11.67 | $0.424 | $4.95 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. CelticsKnicks | buy | 104.88 | $0.410 | $43 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Fiziev | buy | 140.76 | $0.490 | $68.97 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.