Latest trade
Jul 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:22 PM UTC.
Analytics
Frayed-Stair has made $14.13 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 7, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:22 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Mar 17, 2026 UTC to Jul 7, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 7.12 | $0.702 | $6.96 | +$1.96 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 AND Argentina to win the second half? | buy | 5.94 | $0.330 | $1.96 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:49 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 22:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 22:22 UTC
polymarket positions
32 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:49 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $45.71 and losing ones cost $9.85 across 30 settled positions. 76.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14.38 on “Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5.27 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET” (Up).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Jul 2026. It has traded 52 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.67 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.54 |
| $0.393 |
| $2.04 |
| +$1.04 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.54 | $0.394 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.82 | $0.262 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes| sell |
| 3.2 |
| $0.086 |
| $0.28 |
| Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.805 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.702 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.999 | $2.46 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Pumas UNAM win Liga MX?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | May 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | May 24, 2026 UTC |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.403 | $1.51 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.533 | $2 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.446 | $1 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-09?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.312 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp | buy | 21.9 | $0.228 | $5 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | May 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | sell | 19.52 | $0.319 | $6.23 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.790 | $1.77 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.120 | $0.54 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.120 | $0.53 | May 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.168 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.176 | $0.18 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.330 | $1.5 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.393 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.560 | $0.97 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.135 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.037 | $0.37 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.270 | $1.04 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.160 | $1.14 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.