Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 2.79 | $0.170 | $0.47 | 5d ago |
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| sell |
| 1.69 |
| $0.983 |
| $1.66 |
| 5d ago |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.991 | $1.93 | 5d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.962 | $2.18 | 5d ago |
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?No | sell | 2.21 | $0.998 | $2.21 | 5d ago |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 2.41 | $0.999 | $2.41 | 5d ago |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.982 | $2.69 | 5d ago |
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.04 | $0.996 | $4.02 | 5d ago |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.965 | $5.15 | 5d ago |
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.910 | $6.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.938 | $3.11 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.950 | $1.43 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.969 | $1.45 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.960 | $1.34 | May 17, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.993 | $1.38 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.989 | $1.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.94 | $0.820 | $4.87 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.76 | $0.850 | $4.89 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 13.82 | $0.691 | $9.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.997 | $1.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 72.6 | $0.810 | $58.81 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp | buy | 12.85 | $0.750 | $9.64 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.999 | $2.34 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 69.6 | $0.699 | $48.65 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 16.68 | $0.562 | $9.37 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 16.46 | $0.570 | $9.38 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 32.92 | $0.570 | $18.76 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 18.91 | $0.490 | $9.27 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of March 30 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETUp | buy | 15.25 | $0.620 | $9.45 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 19.27 | $0.480 | $9.25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp | buy | 5.04 | $0.990 | $4.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.04 | $0.990 | $4.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.995 | $1.45 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.992 | $1.33 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $160 March 23-29?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.999 | $1.63 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.935 | $1.75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.977 | $1.64 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in March?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on March 18?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 16?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.979 | $1.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |