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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 120.85 | $0.993 | $119.82 | -$0.18 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 120.85 | $0.993 | $120 | 8d ago |
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| buy |
| 70.28 |
| $0.996 |
| $70 |
| 8d ago |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 131.84 | $0.994 | $131 | 25d ago |
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | 25d ago |
Netanyahu out by July 31?No | buy | 182.55 | $0.997 | $182 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200.8 | $0.996 | $200 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No | buy | 150.3 | $0.998 | $150 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 167 | $0.994 | $166 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 239.44 | $0.994 | $238 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No | buy | 127.38 | $0.997 | $127 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 201.82 | $0.991 | $200 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 161.23 | $0.992 | $160 | May 17, 2026 |
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?No | buy | 156.29 | $0.992 | $155 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 147.59 | $0.996 | $147 | May 17, 2026 |
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 175.18 | $0.999 | $175 | May 10, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 149.04 | $0.993 | $148 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 150.51 | $0.997 | $150 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 170.17 | $0.999 | $170 | May 10, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 26.89 | $0.967 | $26 | May 10, 2026 |
Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?No | buy | 210.42 | $0.998 | $210 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No | buy | 162.32 | $0.998 | $162 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 355.32 | $0.999 | $354.96 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 370.33 | $0.999 | $369.96 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 180.72 | $0.996 | $180 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 90.27 | $0.997 | $90 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 85.17 | $0.998 | $85 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 139.18 | $0.991 | $138 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 228.46 | $0.998 | $228 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 228.46 | $0.998 | $228 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 260.26 | $0.999 | $260 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 206.83 | $0.967 | $200 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?No | buy | 201.68 | $0.992 | $200 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 236.56 | $0.993 | $235 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 185.37 | $0.998 | $185 | Mar 8, 2026 |