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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Ethereum" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.039 | $0.98 | Jul 27, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 42.86 |
| $0.070 |
| $3 |
| Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elizabeth Warren" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Ethereum" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during his Bitcoin Conference speech?No | buy | 44.62 | $0.112 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 93.75 | $0.032 | $3 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | sell | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 253.8 | $0.071 | $18.02 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Kamala president by Friday?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.032 | $4.1 | Jul 24, 2024 |
 Will Netanyahu meet with Trump?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.078 | $10 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | sell | 115.38 | $0.313 | $36.11 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.260 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 DNC open convention?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden speak at the DNC?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| DNC open convention?Yes | buy | 45.26 | $0.221 | $10 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 253.81 | $0.197 | $50 | Jul 22, 2024 |