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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.84 | $0.950 | $0.82 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.116 | $5.57 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 66 |
| $0.730 |
| $48.18 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.530 | $20.67 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 102 | $0.470 | $47.94 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.910 | $44.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.860 | $48.16 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.840 | $47.04 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.370 | $25.9 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 97 | $0.061 | $5.92 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.090 | $0.36 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 95 | $0.430 | $40.85 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.130 | $18.46 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 146 | $0.130 | $18.98 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.100 | $6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 182 | $0.100 | $18.2 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.039 | $0.27 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.041 | $5.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.968 | $47.43 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.610 | $48.19 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.620 | $48.98 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.948 | $44.56 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 38.05 | $0.817 | $31.09 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.320 | $22.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 61.53 | $0.320 | $19.69 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 49.32 | $0.186 | $9.17 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.189 | $16.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.440 | $35.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 59.48 | $0.440 | $26.17 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 83 | $0.550 | $45.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 83 | $0.550 | $45.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.660 | $37.62 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.028 | $0.9 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.183 | $3.84 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.983 | $11.8 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 12 | $0.989 | $11.87 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.982 | $12.77 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.946 | $12.3 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.946 | $12.3 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of EPL?No | sell | 13 | $0.947 | $12.31 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.943 | $12.26 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.944 | $12.27 | May 9, 2025 |