Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.005 | $9.75 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 150 |
| $0.005 |
| $0.75 |
| Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon before July?Yes | sell | 104.33 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 214.28 | $0.240 | $51.43 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.005 | $7 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.009 | $7 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on June 30?Yes | sell | 201.6 | $0.110 | $22.23 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.013 | $15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.120 | $18 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 145.45 | $0.110 | $16 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.968 | $12.1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?No | sell | 46.66 | $0.331 | $15.42 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.185 | $4 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 24.49 | $0.490 | $12 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 12?Up | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon before July?Yes | buy | 104.33 | $0.096 | $10 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?No | buy | 636.36 | $0.011 | $7 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 6?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 6?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.095 | $7 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?Yes | buy | 183.45 | $0.033 | $6 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?No | buy | 46.67 | $0.150 | $7 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will PSG win 3-2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on June 30?Yes | buy | 201.6 | $0.099 | $20 | May 29, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $106,000 on May 27?No | buy | 114.29 | $0.061 | $7 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?No | buy | 44.37 | $0.023 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.072 | $12 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?No | buy | 244.63 | $0.029 | $7 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?No | buy | 91.55 | $0.033 | $3 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Thank you" 3+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $150-160m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 51.47 | $0.097 | $5 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.002 | $5 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?Yes | buy | 31.56 | $0.032 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Economy" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Friends" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?No | buy | 805.56 | $0.002 | $2 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Federal Reserve" 2+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |