Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 9 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5.7% on 13 Jun 2025 and the low 0.3% on 28 Jun 2025. $221.83K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 9 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2025 | 4.3% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winORlose | Yes | 4.93K |
| Sin088 | Yes | 1.2K |
| Radik87 | Yes | 1K |
| Oelash | Yes | 1K |
| Planeta90 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 594.52 |
| ezmoneyvee | Yes | 505.33 |
| bronson | Yes | 369.11 |
| jaypp08 | Yes | 239.56 |
| gettingdo | Yes | 227.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an apology is issued to Elon Musk by Donald Trump between June 8 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. An apology consists of any of the following: - An explicit statement using the words “apologize,” “sorry,” “regret,” “I was wrong,” or similar expressions of remorse directed at the specified individual - A public statement acknowledging fault or error in their statements or actions toward the specified individual - A retraction of previous negative statements coupled with an expression of regret or wrongdoing The following will not qualify: - Conditional apologies (e.g., “I'm sorry if…” “I would be sorry if…”) - Apologies to third parties or the public without specifically apologizing to the other party - Sarcastic or clearly insincere statements The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-apologize-to-elon-by-friday
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