Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 9.85 | $0.995 | $9.81 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.995 | $9.8 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 3 |
| $0.850 |
| $2.22 |
| -$0.33 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 3 |
| $0.850 |
| $2.55 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.998 | $12.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 12.41 | $0.993 | $12.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.999 | $12.4 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 525 | $0.002 | $1.05 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?Yes | buy | 76.18 | $0.999 | $76.1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 76.08 | $0.999 | $76 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 75.08 | $0.999 | $75 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?No | buy | 15.92 | $0.999 | $15.9 | May 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 15.53 | $0.998 | $15.5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 75.88 | $0.999 | $75.8 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | buy | 75.78 | $0.999 | $75.7 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75.75 | $0.999 | $75.67 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 24?No | buy | 75.66 | $0.999 | $75.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 20?No | buy | 75.59 | $0.999 | $75.52 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?No | buy | 75.52 | $0.999 | $75.45 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13?Yes | sell | 75.62 | $0.998 | $75.47 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 13?Yes | buy | 75.62 | $0.999 | $75.55 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?No | buy | 75.55 | $0.999 | $75.48 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 74.26 | $0.999 | $74.19 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?No | buy | 74.19 | $0.999 | $74.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 74.11 | $0.999 | $74.04 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?Yes | buy | 73.07 | $0.999 | $73 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 72.64 | $0.998 | $72.49 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 72.49 | $0.998 | $72.35 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | sell | 72.42 | $0.999 | $72.35 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 72.42 | $0.999 | $72.35 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 59.57 | $0.999 | $59.51 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 59.51 | $0.999 | $59.45 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 59.45 | $0.999 | $59.39 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?No | buy | 56.04 | $0.999 | $55.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.997 | $1.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.998 | $1.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 30m?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $420 in January?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.998 | $1.25 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.975 | $1.2 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.984 | $1.35 | Jan 11, 2026 |