Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.33 |
| $0.011 |
| $0.09 |
| Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.025 | $0.06 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 23?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.956 | $1.15 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63–64°F on May 23?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 23 at 5 PM ET?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.999 | $3.33 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on May 23?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.730 | $3.04 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.002 | $0.01 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 27.28 | $0.037 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 46.95 | $0.021 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.062 | $3.43 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.078 | $1.62 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.011 | $0.25 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80–81°F on May 17?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84–85°F on May 17?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.150 | $0.79 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84–85°F on May 17?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Marco" during May 16 Baier interview?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.995 | $3.01 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?Yes | buy | 22.44 | $0.045 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?No | buy | 42.27 | $0.024 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 18.21 | $0.055 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 25.45 | $0.039 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok not endorse any candidate?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Marco" during May 16 Baier interview?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | May 16, 2025 |