Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 48.4%. Yes opened at 3.9% on 17 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 17 May 2025 to 23 May 2025, the highest close was 48.4% on 23 May 2025 and the lowest 3.9% on 17 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 48.4% on 23 May 2025. $576.16K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 May 2025 – 23 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | 3.9% |
| 23 May 2025 | 48.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 178.98K |
| CavaSoTasty | No | 9.88K |
| profitpilot1 | Yes | 26.65 |
| Samlolpip | No | 25.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between May 16, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and May 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-may-16-23
| sert | No | 13.54 |
| Cajetan | No | 0.06 |
| rafflez | No | 0.05 |
| Trustme11 | Yes | 0.05 |
| ODINNA | No | 0.04 |
| hasso422 | No | 0.04 |
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