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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jul 13, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 12 |
| $0.917 |
| $11 |
| Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.914 | $10.97 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?No | buy | 16 | $0.859 | $13.74 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.931 | $13.97 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.968 | $13.55 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.983 | $14.75 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 15 | $0.944 | $14.16 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.961 | $4.81 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.981 | $14.72 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.958 | $14.37 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 15 | $0.929 | $13.94 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 15 | $0.931 | $13.97 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 14 | $0.976 | $13.66 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 9 | $0.979 | $8.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.066 | $0.33 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.035 | $1.16 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.066 | $0.86 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.035 | $2.56 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | sell | 15 | $0.923 | $13.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 15 | $0.923 | $13.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.035 | $0.81 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.055 | $1.27 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 12 | $0.966 | $11.59 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.035 | $1.19 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.062 | $0.68 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 4–11?No | sell | 15 | $0.964 | $14.46 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 4–11?No | buy | 15 | $0.962 | $14.43 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | sell | 5 | $0.939 | $4.69 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 16 | $0.936 | $14.98 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.952 | $14.28 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.952 | $14.28 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.977 | $14.66 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.976 | $14.64 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.746 | $14.92 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.963 | $14.45 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.963 | $14.45 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.975 | $14.63 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.975 | $14.63 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.947 | $12.31 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.027 | $0.97 | Jul 7, 2025 |