Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:28 PM UTC.
Analytics
Red-Bargain is down $2.22K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:28 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 131 trades covered 112 markets; 97.7% were buys. They run from Jan 10, 2026 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 641.03 | $0.156 | $58.01 | -$41.99 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 733.5 | $0.409 | $300 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-15 21:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
131 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:28 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-15 21:18 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.03K and losing ones cost $151.13 across 30 settled positions. 86.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $277.78 on “Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May…” (No); the largest loss, $65.5 on “Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jul 2026. It has traded 112 markets. Its open positions are worth $69.68 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 47.62 |
| $0.210 |
| $7.19 |
| -$2.81 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $4.47 | -$5.53 |
| buy |
| 454.55 |
| $0.011 |
| $5 |
| Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina to score first vs. Spain?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.390 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.084 | $30 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 224.3 | $0.267 | $60 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 180 | $0.250 | $45 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 92.17 | $0.542 | $50 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 64.44 | $0.450 | $29 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 61.73 | $0.405 | $25 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | buy | 39.28 | $0.122 | $4.78 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 140.85 | $0.355 | $50 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 104.49 | $0.612 | $64 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | buy | 71.09 | $0.137 | $9.74 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 16.26 | $0.615 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 59.7 | $0.167 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Morocco leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? | buy | 103.07 | $0.094 | $9.73 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Japan?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceJapan | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.