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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.56 | $0.041 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.020 | $0.14 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.018 |
| $0.86 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.921 | $35.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.921 | $35.92 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.981 | $35.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.981 | $35.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.150 | $5.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.480 | $33.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.080 | $5.92 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 37 | $0.985 | $36.45 | May 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 37 | $0.984 | $36.41 | May 26, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.985 | $32.51 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.982 | $32.41 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.027 | $1.24 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 35 | $0.890 | $31.15 | May 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.977 | $30.29 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.040 | $0.96 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.041 | $3.44 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 20.16 | $0.520 | $10.48 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.470 | $15.98 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.78 | $0.985 | $6.68 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.985 | $28.57 | May 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.986 | $28.59 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.700 | $23.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 29 | $0.984 | $28.54 | May 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.983 | $28.51 | May 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.956 | $28.68 | May 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.967 | $17.41 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 36 | $0.920 | $33.12 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 195 | $0.022 | $4.29 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.990 | $38.61 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 39 | $0.972 | $37.91 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?No | sell | 36 | $0.970 | $34.92 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.030 | $0.18 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.029 | $2.73 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.029 | $1.54 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | sell | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.009 | $0.74 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.087 | $0.61 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.010 | $0.83 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.086 | $3.1 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No | sell | 38 | $0.993 | $37.73 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 39 | $0.980 | $38.22 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.971 | $16.51 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.986 | $24.65 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.971 | $16.51 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.969 | $14.54 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Aug 26, 2025 |