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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.71 | $0.954 | $0.7 | +$0.02 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 0.37 |
| $0.489 |
| $0.08 |
| -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 22 |
| $0.930 |
| $20.46 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.890 | $34.71 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.900 | $35.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.850 | $34.85 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.860 | $38.7 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.830 | $37.35 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.690 | $37.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.700 | $37.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.943 | $33.95 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.250 | $9.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.170 | $5.78 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.150 | $1.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.480 | $30.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 37 | $0.920 | $34.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.880 | $37.84 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.900 | $36.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.850 | $40.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.818 | $40.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.816 | $40.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.939 | $41.32 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.360 | $14.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.360 | $14.76 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.160 | $6.88 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | sell | 35 | $0.995 | $34.83 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No | buy | 35 | $0.979 | $34.27 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.250 | $10.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.730 | $35.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 49 | $0.730 | $35.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.987 | $35.53 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 20.1 | $0.460 | $9.25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 29 | $0.955 | $27.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 35 | $0.954 | $33.39 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.986 | $32.54 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.490 | $18.13 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 29 | $0.748 | $21.69 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.809 | $34.79 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.042 | $3.49 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 33 | $0.957 | $31.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.965 | $11.58 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.760 | $31.92 | May 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.959 | $35.48 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.440 | $19.36 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.37 | $0.440 | $19.52 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | May 27, 2026 |